金价，再次大涨
<section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" act1="xmy"><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor"><section data-pm-slice="3 3 },namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{data-role:outer,label:edit by 135editor,style:},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{data-role:outer,label:edit by 135editor,data-pm-slice:0 0 []},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{data-role:paragraph},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml}]"><section><section style="text-align: center;height: 0px;"><br/></section><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor"><section data-role="paragraph"><section style="line-height: 2em;margin: 0px;visibility: visible;" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span style="letter-spacing: 1px;font-size: 16px;visibility: visible;"><span leaf="" style="visibility: visible;"><br/></span></span><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk221g"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">周一国际金价上涨超1.5%，重返3400美元/盎司上方，创近五周新高。</span><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">市场避险情绪有所回升，在8月1日最后期限前关税谈判不确定性中，</span><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">美元和美债收益率走弱提振了黄金的价格。</span><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">展望未来，分析人士认为，四大因素可能将决定黄金是否能突破3500美元并挑战今年上半年创下的历史高位。</span></span></p><p data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="line-height: 1em;text-indent: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1imv"><br/></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" data-pm-slice="3 5 "><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-role="title" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="162047"><section style="margin: 10px auto;display: flex;justify-content: center;"><section style="display: flex;align-items: center;"><section style="flex-shrink: 0;"><section style="width: 16px;box-sizing:border-box;"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 36.69 61" style="display: block;"><g data-name="图层 2"><g data-name="图层 1"><path d="M19.25,61H0L17.44,30.5,0,0H19.25L36.69,30.5Z" style="fill:#3a67b4;fill-rule:evenodd;"></path></g></g></svg></section></section><section style="margin: 0 7px;"><section style="width: 100%;height: 4px;border-top: 1px solid #5e93ef;max-width:100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;" data-width="100%"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1zyx"><br/></span></section><section style="background-color: #e0e9f8;padding: 10px 25px;box-sizing:border-box;"><section style="font-size: 16px;color: #333333;text-align: center;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1xjo"><span leaf="">金价震荡蓄势</span></strong></section></section><section style="width: 100%;height: 4px;border-bottom: 1px solid #5e93ef;max-width:100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;" data-width="100%"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk225a"><br/></span></section></section><section style="flex-shrink: 0;"><section style="width: 16px;box-sizing:border-box;"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 36.69 61" style="display: block;"><g data-name="图层 2"><g data-name="图层 1"><path d="M0,30.5,17.44,0H36.69L19.25,30.5,36.69,61H17.44Z" style="fill:#3a67b4;fill-rule:evenodd;"></path></g></g></svg></section></section></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-indent: 2em;line-height: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1ulj"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">本周首个交易日，美元指数震荡下行跌0.6%，再次失守98关口，基准10年期美债收益率进一步远离4.50%，触及一周低位。</span></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="162039"><section style="margin: 10px auto;"><section style="background: #ffffff repeating-linear-gradient(50deg, #456fb90px, #456fb9 3px, #ffffff 3px, #ffffff 6px, #456fb9 6px, #456fb9 9px, #ffffff 9px, #ffffff 12px);width: 80px;height: 26px;margin-bottom: -17px;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1u0"><br/></span></section><section style="background-color: #e0e9f8;margin-left: 11px;margin-top: 8px;"><section style="border: 1px solid rgb(84, 123, 190);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box;transform: translate(-6px, -6px);"><section style="padding: 21px;box-sizing:border-box;"><section data-autoskip="1" style="text-align: justify;line-height: 1.75em;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;color: #333333;background-color: transparent;"><p style="text-indent: 2em;line-height: 2em;margin-bottom: 8px;"><span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" data-mpa-action-id="mddyk0nj1ocv" data-pm-slice="0 0 []" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1la6"><span leaf="" style="font-size: 16px;"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">据报道，欧盟外交官称，随着与华盛顿达成可接受的贸易协议的前景逐渐黯淡，欧盟正在探索一套更广泛的针对美国的可能反制措施。商品经纪商High Ridge Futures金属交易主管梅杰（David Meger）表示：“随着8月1日最后期限的临近，这给市场带来了一定程度的不确定性，这无疑是（对黄金）一种支持。”</span></span></span></p><section data-role="paragraph" style="" data-mpa-action-id="mddygyup8l8" data-pm-slice="3 3 },namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{data-role:outer,label:edit by 135editor},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml}]"><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;margin-top: 8px;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">渣打银行全球研究部贵金属分析师库珀（Suki Cooper）表示：“对美国债务增长和进一步关税更新的担忧可能会使黄金成为关注焦点，目前金价似乎得到了很好的支撑。”</span></span></p></section></section></section><section style="width: 10px;margin-left: auto;display: flex;flex-direction: column;box-sizing:border-box;transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-webkit-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-moz-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-o-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);"><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 12px solid #456fb9;border-top: 12px solid transparent;margin-left: auto;margin-bottom: -1px;z-index: 1;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1ja"><br/></span></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 10px solid #e0e9f8;border-top: 10px solid transparent;margin-top: -9px;margin-left: auto;z-index: 3;margin-right: -2px;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1l2z"><br/></span></section></section></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 10px solid #ffffff;border-top: 10px solid transparent;margin-top: -10px;margin-left: auto;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1sb"><br/></span></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;margin-bottom: 8px;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hktrh"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">自4月达到峰值以来，黄金一直徘徊在狭窄的区间内。尽管金价继续受到通胀担忧和全球紧张局势的支撑，但最近的盘整表明，新势头可能需要新的催化剂。</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;margin-bottom: 8px;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1k7u"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">与此同时，外界也在关注美国总统特朗普与美联储主席鲍威尔之间的“战斗”，这可能会影响未来的利率走向。在引起金融市场短暂波动后，特朗普上周回应了相关报道并重申，他不打算解雇美联储主席鲍威尔，但保留了选择权，再次批评美联储没有及时降息。梅杰表示， 关于美国提前降息的讨论正在增加，围绕美联储主席鲍威尔可能被替换和美联储重组的猜测加剧了市场的紧张情绪。</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1zp9"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">根据芝加哥商品交易所FedWatch Tool的数据， 交易员预计美联储9月份降息的可能性约为59%，距离充分定价还有不小距离。</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 1em;text-indent: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1ys7"><br/></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor"><section data-role="outer" label="Powered by 135editor.com" data-pm-slice="3 5 "><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-role="title" data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="162047"><section style="margin: 10px auto;display: flex;justify-content: center;"><section style="display: flex;align-items: center;"><section style="flex-shrink: 0;"><section style="width: 16px;box-sizing:border-box;"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 36.69 61" style="display: block;"><g data-name="图层 2"><g data-name="图层 1"><path d="M19.25,61H0L17.44,30.5,0,0H19.25L36.69,30.5Z" style="fill:#3a67b4;fill-rule:evenodd;"></path></g></g></svg></section></section><section style="margin: 0 7px;"><section style="width: 100%;height: 4px;border-top: 1px solid #5e93ef;max-width:100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;" data-width="100%"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1lt0"><br/></span></section><section style="background-color: #e0e9f8;padding: 10px 25px;box-sizing:border-box;"><section style="font-size: 16px;color: #333333;text-align: center;"><strong data-brushtype="text" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hkahv"><span leaf="">何时挑战3500美元</span></strong></section></section><section style="width: 100%;height: 4px;border-bottom: 1px solid #5e93ef;max-width:100% !important;box-sizing:border-box;" data-width="100%"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hkbdu"><br/></span></section></section><section style="flex-shrink: 0;"><section style="width: 16px;box-sizing:border-box;"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" viewbox="0 0 36.69 61" style="display: block;"><g data-name="图层 2"><g data-name="图层 1"><path d="M0,30.5,17.44,0H36.69L19.25,30.5,36.69,61H17.44Z" style="fill:#3a67b4;fill-rule:evenodd;"></path></g></g></svg></section></section></section></section></section><section data-role="paragraph"><p style="text-indent: 2em;line-height: 2em;"><span style="letter-spacing: 1px;font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hkvcs" data-mpa-action-id="mddyhjer21hc" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">在4月25日突破3500美元后，国际金价随后曾多次冲击历史新高都宣告失败，贸易紧张局势、地缘政治因素降温和美联储降息前景不明朗等因素成为了负面因素。</span></span></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="162039"><section style="margin: 10px auto;"><section style="background: #ffffff repeating-linear-gradient(50deg, #456fb90px, #456fb9 3px, #ffffff 3px, #ffffff 6px, #456fb9 6px, #456fb9 9px, #ffffff 9px, #ffffff 12px);width: 80px;height: 26px;margin-bottom: -17px;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1g2h"><br/></span></section><section style="background-color: #e0e9f8;margin-left: 11px;margin-top: 8px;"><section style="border: 1px solid rgb(84, 123, 190);background-color: rgb(255, 255, 255);box-sizing: border-box;transform: translate(-6px, -6px);"><section style="padding: 21px;box-sizing:border-box;"><section data-autoskip="1" style="text-align: justify;line-height: 1.75em;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size: 16px;color: #333333;background-color: transparent;"><p style="text-indent: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 16px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" data-mpa-action-id="mddymc5q1w1q" data-pm-slice="0 0 []" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1yeb"><span leaf="" style="font-size: 16px;"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">机构Monetary Metals研究主管纳德尔施泰因（Ben Nadelstein）认为，至少在7月，金价迎来新高的可能性有限。“在鲍威尔被替换或美联储降低利率之前，我认为金价不会达到3500美元。”他解释说。</span></span></span></p><section data-role="paragraph" style="" data-mpa-action-id="mddygyup8l8" data-pm-slice="3 3 },namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml},para,{tagName:section,attributes:{data-role:outer,label:edit by 135editor},namespaceURI:http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml}]"><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;margin-top: 8px;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">资管The Alloy Market首席执行官阿维萨诺（Brandon Aversano）观点类似，称短期内任何显著的价格上涨都需要新的重大经济逆风或全球不稳定加剧。</span></span></p><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;margin-top: 8px;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">相比之下，美国贵金属交易所（APMEX）营销总监埃利奥特（Brett Elliott）则认为，参考上半年，黄金可能会出现令人惊讶的走势。 “在适当的催化剂作用下，（它）有时会在一天内波动超过3%。”他预计，贸易政策的发展是可能刺激金价的一个因素。</span></span></p></section></section></section><section style="width: 10px;margin-left: auto;display: flex;flex-direction: column;box-sizing:border-box;transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-webkit-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-moz-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);-o-transform: translate(-1px, 1px);"><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 12px solid #456fb9;border-top: 12px solid transparent;margin-left: auto;margin-bottom: -1px;z-index: 1;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk23kg"><br/></span></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 10px solid #e0e9f8;border-top: 10px solid transparent;margin-top: -9px;margin-left: auto;z-index: 3;margin-right: -2px;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk231g"><br/></span></section></section></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 10px solid #ffffff;border-top: 10px solid transparent;margin-top: -10px;margin-left: auto;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk736"><br/></span></section></section></section></section></section><p style="line-height: 1em;"><span mpa-font-style="mddyq7hkt7r" data-mpa-action-id="mddyhjer21hc" data-pm-slice="0 0 []" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 17px;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;"><br/></span></span></p></section></section></section></section><p style="line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2em;"><span leaf="" style="color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9);font-size: 16px;font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;letter-spacing: 0.034em;font-style: normal;font-weight: normal;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk11sd"><span textstyle="" style="letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">在这些市场人士看来，以下四个驱动因素将在三季度、甚至下半年影响黄金的表现：</span></span></p><section data-role="outer" label="edit by 135editor" data-pm-slice="0 0 []"><section data-tools="135编辑器" data-id="162040"><section style="margin: 10px auto;"><section style="background-color: #f1f6ff;"><section style="display: flex;justify-content: space-between;align-items: flex-end;"><section style="display: flex;flex-direction: column;"><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-left: 15px solid #ffffff;border-bottom: 15px solid transparent;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1f78"><br/></span></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-left: 10px solid #456fb9;border-bottom: 10px solid transparent;margin-top: -16px;z-index: 3;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk2v7"><br/></span></section></section><section style="width: 0px;height: 1px;border-right: 5px solid #ffffff;border-top: 5px solid transparent;box-sizing:border-box;"><span leaf="" style="font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk56d"><br/></span></section></section><section style="padding: 16px;box-sizing:border-box;"><section data-autoskip="1" style="text-align: justify;line-height:1.75em;letter-spacing: 1.5px;font-size:14px;color:#333333;background-color: transparent;"><p style="font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;margin-bottom: 8px;display: block;"><span style="background-color: transparent;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hk1jtn"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">①全球央行热情：</span></span></span></p><p style="font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;margin-bottom: 8px;display: block;"><span style="background-color: transparent;font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hkr8a"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">在过去几年中，央行一直是黄金的重要买家，他们的购买决策可以迅速影响市场。决策者通过购买贵金属，以分散资产组合风险，对冲经济不确定性。阿维萨诺表示：“如果我们开始看到央行再次以创纪录的速度购买黄金， 可能会看到金价上涨。（但是）如果我们看到央行需求降温，金价或小幅下降。”</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px 0px 8px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;display: block;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hligb"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">②地缘政治事件：</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px 0px 8px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;display: block;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hl1le7"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">政治动荡通常会促使投资者从股票和债券转向贵金属作为避风港。7月份的未知因素是是否会出现新的危机。埃利奥特指出，任何扰乱地缘政治或宏观经济格局的黑天鹅事件都可能给黄金带来所需的提振，使其达到3500美元。然而，由于几个地区的紧张局势（中东、俄乌）已经降温，黄金目前的价格可能反映了大多数明显的风险。因此，催化剂可能都需要来自市场尚未关注的风险。</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px 0px 8px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;display: block;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hlbcp"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">③通货膨胀数据：</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px 0px 8px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;display: block;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hl1paq"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">纳德尔施泰因认为，尽管通胀一直在“悄悄酝酿”，但数据的任何急剧变化都可能预示着潜在的经济疲软。当投资者担心经济时，他们通常会增加黄金持有量。阿维萨诺表示，金价通常会跟随经济趋势，这意味着未来关税影响下的宏观报告可能会激发金价突破更高水平的需求。</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hloih"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(58, 103, 180);font-weight: bold;">④美元走势：</span></span></span></p><p style="text-align:justify;max-inline-size: 100%;margin: 0px;padding: 0px;clear: both;min-height: 1em;cursor: text;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);caret-color: rgb(255, 0, 0);text-decoration-thickness: initial;font-size: 16px;line-height: 2em;text-indent: 2.125em;font-family: mp-quote, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Arial, sans-serif;box-sizing: border-box !important;overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="font-size: 16px;letter-spacing: 1px;color: rgb(51, 51, 51);font-family: mp-quote, PingFang SC, -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif;" mpa-font-style="mddyq7hl1gmy"><span leaf=""><span textstyle="" style="color: rgb(51, 51, 51);">回顾历史，黄金往往与美元的走势呈现负相关性。第一财经此前曾报道，上半年美元指数累计下跌超10%，创下自1973年自由浮动货币时代开始以来最差开局表现。目前影响美元走势的因素包括：美联储降息前景、美国经济韧性、投资者对美国资产的信心及贸易战走向等。许多行业分析师建议，通过美元指数走向来评估金价前景。</span></span></span></p></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><p style="display: none;"><mp-style-type data-value="3"></mp-style-type></p><p style="color:#999;font-size:.8em;margin-top:1em">转载声明：本文转载自徐州新闻</p><p><br/></p><link rel="stylesheet" href="//bbs.221700.com/source/plugin/wcn_editor/public/wcn_editor_fit.css?v134_EX5" id="wcn_editor_css"/>
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